5 types of businesses which can become multibaggers- MOHNISH PABRAI

                Mohnish pabrai is an Indian-American investor. This blog is based on the lecture given by him( Mohnish pabrai ) at Perking University (Guanghua School Mgmt) .The link of the video is available at the bottom of the blog.

                   He have written two books named Dhandoo investor & Mosaic.(Link given in the blog)

                   He started investing when he was 30 years old without attending a single class on investing with $1 million & aims to reach $1 billion by age 60 years which requires CAGR (COMPOUNDED ANNUAL GROWTH RATE) OF 26%.He also runs a foundation called DAKSHANA FOUNDATION.

                   5 TYPES OF BUSINESSES WHICH CAN BE MULTIBAGGERS-MOHNISH PABRAI    

 

1.EXTREMELY WIDE & DEEP MOAT BUSINESS:

              Moats means a castle surrounded by water which has piranha fish or a strong defence to protect it .This are the business which are very well established , have years of history or mind share of consumers (Cadbary).It’s very difficult for competitors to compete or even sometimes enter the market.

EXAMPLE: COCO COLA LTD, VISA LTD, MOODY LTD, CRISIL LTD, ETC

 

2.NEED A PRO OR EXPERT OR ALPHA MANAGER RUN THE BUSINESS:

              Some companies or business cannot be run by idiots .This  operations are very specialized and very competitive .The entry barriers are very less or have cut throat competition in the industry.

EXAMPLE: HDFC LTD, HDFC BANK LTD, KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK LTD , MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS LTD, ETC

             Dhando investor: https://amzn.to/2CtWKdI (free audiobook version available)

3. MARKET GETTING CONFUSE:

              This are low risk & high uncertainty business; where the future growth or earnings cannot be predicted or the market is fearful about the future path of the business . But in this kind of businesses there are other factors which reduce the risk of the bankruptcy like property , plant ,equipments , stocks, share, patents,etc . But which can also provide a huge return .

EXAMPLE FROM MOHNISH PABRAI :There was Steel company having a market capitalization

 a of $2.5 Billion, cash of 900 million, contract for 2 years of worth 650 million in each year and no forecast for the future the company can even go in loss in the third year because of cyclicality of the industry.After first of buying; the company forecasted that they have one more of earning visibility of 650 million . The market price when he brought as $45 in one year it doubled to $70; then in the third year half way the company was acquired by other company  for $170 a share –Simple 4 baggers in 2.5 years .

            

4.BANKRUPTCY, REORGANIZATION, SPECIAL SITUATIONS:

              This are companies who have arisen from odd or uneven situation .One of the best example is SATYAM (LATER ACQUIRED BY MAHINDRA NOW KNOW AS TECH MAHINDRA).

EXAMPLE FROM MOHNISH PABRAI:

SAM ZELL (MOHNISH PABRAI CALLS HIM GRAVE DANCER). He is an America investor and author of the book AM I BEING TOO SUBTLE.

MOHNISH considers him and all other big investor to be expert on US tax code.

The example goes this way there was a insurance company which went bankrupt in 1990 which  had net operating losses (NOL) of 630 million; SAM bought it at 30 million in the year 1998. Then he joined a Transportation company which was highly profitable. But later the transportation company also went bankrupt which resulted in (bankruptcy)bankruptcy

resulting in 800 million in NOL. Later he found a Waste recycling company (which converted garbage into electricity). This company had 2 billion in assets & 2 billion in debt; they bought it for 30 million . They did lots of changes in company did two right issues and returned the this company profitable . The stock went  from $1 to $40 in few months .

              AM I BEING TOO SUBTLE:https://amzn.to/2CrfGd5

5. UPSIDE HIGHER & LOWER DOWNSIDE:

            This are companies or businesses which have lower downside but huge upside. This means a company may have a huge order book, small stake in huge non listed companies, huge assets , etc. The most important thing in this type of company is that the normal business operation are going smooth & the management is of high integrity. There is something in the company which will trigger the valuation

EXAMPLE BY MOHNISH PABRAI:

Before the DOTCOM bubble busted all the tech stocks where just going up, up, & …..up. But the valuation also went insane. But there was a bank called SILLION VALLEY BANK who had received warrants from this companies for various provided to them; but  the value of warrants was never disclosed by the bank.Also the normal working of the bank was smooth and available at good valuation .So as the bubble started busting the bank started disclosing the warrants & stock gave 2.5 times return in 2 years & went to 5x return in 3 years

WARRANTS: Warrants are a derivative that give the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security—most commonly an equity—at a certain price before expiration. ... Warrants that give the right to buy a security are known as call warrants; those that give the right to sell a security are known as put warrants.

Books recommendation:
Dhando investor: https://amzn.to/2CtWKdI
AM I BEING TOO SUBTLE: https://amzn.to/2CrfGd5
INTELLIGENT INVESTOR: https://amzn.to/32J6208

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